How it all started

One day, a friend of mine —an amateur bettor and blog writer— invited me to explore the world of sports predictions.
Personally, I am not someone who usually uses digital money; I tend to be cautious and distrustful of technology.

However, he gave me a piece of advice that became key from the very beginning:
“Start with an amount you wouldn’t regret losing.”

That made me reflect. During the week, we often spend money on soft drinks, beers, family barbecues, outings with friends, or special celebrations. That money disappears quickly and leaves nothing behind. When you add it all up, you realize that losing it actually hurts.


The first step

Using the Kraken app, my friend deposited three dollars into a Duelbits account that I had created in advance.
I agreed because the platform offered clear withdrawal options and sufficient legal documentation for identification and user security.


First decisions and early mistakes

On Duelbits, I found different sports and types of predictions.
During that first week, I decided to focus on football, concentrating on two leagues:

  • the English league,
  • and the Ecuadorian league, since I am from Ecuador.

I chose the English league because of its consistency and because it has been widely broadcast since the 1990s, which allowed me to become familiar with its teams. In the Ecuadorian league, I noticed that most teams are very strong at home and that matches are usually tight, especially when teams from warmer climates travel to high-altitude cities.

At the beginning, I bet with the heart of a fan instead of a calm and analytical mindset.
That was my first mistake… and also my first losses.


Adjustments and learning

Over time, I realized that watching football is not the same as analyzing it.
I began to observe matches more carefully and to make decisions with greater patience.

Betting on draws in highly competitive matches —such as games between top teams and solid mid-table sides— helped me recover part of my money, since those outcomes are often valued higher than a win by the favorite.


New experiences and setbacks

Before the end-of-year break, I focused my attention on finals in Argentine and Brazilian football. I noticed that in Argentina, decisive matches tend to be very tight, while in Brazil, goals often come in the final minutes due to the attacking style of the teams.

Some decisions worked well, but I also made mistakes.
The biggest one was being tempted by a last-minute bet and risking more than 60% of what I had available. I lost it. Then I tried to recover quickly… and lost again.

At that point, I understood something fundamental: knowing when to stop is also part of the process.


Pause, control, and recovery

I decided to stop betting for a few days.
Later, I tried other sports, such as volleyball and women’s tennis, where I noticed greater focus and consistency in performance. The gains were small but steady, and that helped me regain control of my money.

I would rather earn a little with discipline than lose everything out of urgency.


Personal conclusion

Today, I do not bet every day.
I prefer to choose a few events and always with small amounts.

I never bet my winnings.
I never chase losses.
And I always try to understand the players and teams before making a decision.

This world is not about getting rich quickly, but about learning self-control.
That is why I recommend starting small, studying each event, and not being influenced by pressure or social media.

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